Andr\u00e1s De\u00e1k<\/a><\/p>\nIn: Bir\u00f3 D\u00e1vid, Egeresi Zolt\u00e1n (eds.):\u00a0Connectivity in a changing world: Turkic States and the middle corridor. <\/em>Budapest:\u00a0T\u00fcrk \u00c1llamok Szervezete Magyarorsz\u00e1gi K\u00e9pviseleti Iroda,\u00a02025. pp. 79-100.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Abstract<\/h1>\n
The EU\u2019s Russian fossil fuel exit has changed the context of Central\u00a0 Asian energy exports considerably. Before Russia\u2019s renewed aggression against Ukraine in February 2022, Russia\u2019s hydrocarbons provided roughly 40% of Europe\u2019s demand. Three years later, Russian exports have retreated only to a handful of countries within the EU, holding only small margins in their former market. According to Eurostat, the share of Russia in direct EU energy imports was 5.4% in 2023, falling from 29.3% in 2019. One might think that disappearing Russian exports have been opening up a huge market for alternatives, among others, Central Asian suppliers. In reality, energy warfare between the European Union and Russia raises various infrastructural, market, and notional barriers before Kazakh, Azerbaijani, and potential Turkmen exporters. These new constraints increase already existing uncertainty regarding the future of EU fossil markets and may deteriorate its business attractiveness in the eyes of Central Asian producers.<\/p>\n
The paper provides an early analysis of major change factors relevant to the Central Asia-EU energy bridge. Understandably, we focus\u00a0 on fossil fuel markets, primarily oil and gas, and skip prospective segments, such as minor or rare minerals and renewable energy. In the \ufb01rst section, we provide an overview of relations prior to 2022 and the shifts after the war restarted. We discuss the problems of Kazakh oil\u00a0 transit through Russia, the potential of Azerbaijani oil and gas exports, and their future conditions. In the second part of the paper, we try to outline the dynamics between the EU\u2019s Russia fossil fuel exit and its decarbonization agenda\u2014two contradictory drivers, o\ufb00ering only a limited and shrinking rationale for major investments in European exports in Central Asia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Is the EU’s exit from Russian fossil fuels an opportunity, a threat, or a nuance for Central Asian energy exporters? Author: Andr\u00e1s De\u00e1k In: Bir\u00f3 D\u00e1vid, Egeresi Zolt\u00e1n (eds.):\u00a0Connectivity in a changing world: Turkic States and the middle corridor. Budapest:\u00a0T\u00fcrk \u00c1llamok Szervezete Magyarorsz\u00e1gi K\u00e9pviseleti Iroda,\u00a02025. pp. 79-100. Abstract The EU\u2019s Russian fossil fuel exit […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":11549,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[104,100],"tags":[770,777,282,778,397],"class_list":["post-11553","publikacio","type-publikacio","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-external-publications","category-publications","tag-azerbaijan","tag-energy-bridge","tag-eu","tag-fossil-fuel-import","tag-russia-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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Author: Andr\u00e1s De\u00e1k In: Bir\u00f3 D\u00e1vid, Egeresi Zolt\u00e1n (eds.):\u00a0Connectivity in a changing world: Turkic States and the middle corridor. Budapest:\u00a0T\u00fcrk \u00c1llamok Szervezete Magyarorsz\u00e1gi K\u00e9pviseleti Iroda,\u00a02025. pp. 79-100. 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